[关键词]
[摘要]
本文考察了现阶段我国工业产能过剩以及去产能的形势,指出产能利用率持续偏低、生产者价格指数持续为负和行业盈利持续下降是现阶段产能过剩的主要表现,然而当前通过减产量、去产能来化解产能过剩的政策效果并不明显,这主要是因为受地方政府干预过多、企业陷入“囚徒困境”和威胁经济社会稳定等因素的制约。政府应深化和落实地方官员政绩考核体制、生产要素定价机制等的改革,减少地方政府对经济的不当干预,发挥市场在资源配置中的决定性作用,实现企业优胜劣汰,同时应建立产能退出补偿机制,避免引发社会动荡。
[Key word]
[Abstract]
This paper investigates the situation of China’s industrial overcapacity and capacity reduction at the present stage, indicating that the low capacity utilization, negative producer price index and industry profitability continued to decline are the main performance currently. However, the policy effect of resolving overcapacity through capacity reduction is not significant, which is mainly influenced by local government intervention, the prisoner’s dilemma of enterprises and the threat to economic and social stability. The government should deepen and implement the reform of local officials performance assessment system and production factors pricing mechanism and so on, reduce the inappropriate intervention of the local government in the economy, play the decisive role of market in the allocation of resources, achieve the survival of the fittest and establish the capacity withdraw compensation mechanism to avoid social unrest.
[中图分类号]
[基金项目]
国家社科基金重大项目(15ZDA011):新常态下我国宏观经济监测和预测研究,首席专家:陈磊;国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403043):产能波动与库存调整的经济效应:一般均衡分析与非线性传导,负责人:韩国高;中国博士后科学基金特别资助项目(2014T70259):我国新一轮去产能的短期经济风险与长期经济效果研究,负责人:韩国高;辽宁省教育厅科学研究一般项目(W2014207):我国新一轮去产能的经济效应及对策研究,负责人:韩国高。